A fondo: Análisis 2016 | In depth: 2016 Analysis www.futurenergyweb.es 18 FuturEnergy | Diciembre December 2016 útil de las instalaciones, mientras que el resto se pierde para siempre. La persistencia en lamala estimación hará que las instalaciones renovables puedan perder 664 M€ más entre 2017 y 2019 y que, en cualquier caso, su retribución futura dependa del comportamiento de precio del mercado eléctrico y de eventuales modificaciones en la retribución establecida por Ley para periodos de seis años. Podría darse el caso de que las nuevas instalaciones que se adjudiquen en la anunciada subasta en base a unas determinadas condiciones, vieran modificada su retribución en 2020, antes de que se hubieran puesto en marcha. Está claro que el devenir de las instalaciones está marcado por la incertidumbre, algo radicalmente opuesto a la estabilidad que necesita el sector renovable para que vuelva a tener algún atractivo para los inversores. Una incertidumbre que no despejan las “medidas de apoyo” anunciadas por Energía. Si como mantiene el Gobierno estamos en una buena senda de cumplimiento de los objetivos comprometidos con la Unión Europea a 2020, y el sistema eléctrico español cuenta con excedente de capacidad, no había motivos para actuar con la precipitación que lo ha hecho el ministerio, salvo que intereses políticos primen sobre los propiamente económicos y los del sector renovable. Por supuesto que estamos a favor de nuevas instalaciones renovables pero no a cualquier precio, no con condicionantes que hipotequen su futuro. Por otro lado, no parece coherente hablar de consenso en temas energéticos al tiempo que se anuncia una subasta de renovables sin escuchar al sector. No pedimos un cambio radical en la regulación, que llevaría a generar más caos, pero sí diálogo para cambiar aspectos importantes de la misma que minimicen los efectos negativos que sobre las energías renovables está teniendo y puede tener en el futuro. Las renovables han sido las grandes damnificadas de la reforma eléctrica y no es justo que sigan cargando con el grueso de los ajustes en el sector eléctrico. Ya pedimos el pasado verano un marco regulatorio estable para el sector antes de poner en marcha nuevas subastas para la instalación de nueva potencia renovable. Para APPA es necesario que el sector recupere la seguridad jurídica perdida y que definamos como país una estrategia en materia energética, que debería seguir la senda de los objetivos medioambientales de la Unión Europea y de los Acuerdos de París. La asociación reclamaba un pacto de amplio consenso previo a cualquier planteamiento sectorial, para lo que debería definirse una estrategia energética, con vigencia a largo plazo y que el Gobierno contara con los agentes del sector para diseñar un desarrollo ordenado de las energías renovables en nuestro país. Seguimos pensando que los planteamientos para nuevos desarrollos renovables deben traer estabilidad al sector y no being responsible for the tariff deficit. The Government reform has not only brought an abrupt halt to renewable generation installations but has retroactively cut the remuneration for existing plants. These have seen their forecast earnings reduced by more than €2.2bn per year. To this has to be added the loss of a further €574m over the period 2014-2016, due to the electricity market price being underestimated by the Ministry of Energy. This will prevent renewables installations from achieving the reasonable return provided for by Law and established by the Government itself. The error in the calculation has resulted in the renewable sector not earning €930m for that period, of which Energy recognises €356m that will be payable throughout the service life of the installations, while the rest is lost forever. The continued underestimation will mean that renewables installations could lose a further €664m between 2017 and 2019 and that, in any event, their future remuneration depends on the behaviour of the electricity market price and of eventual modifications to the legally established remuneration for six-year periods. This could result in those new installations that are successful under the forthcoming auction being awarded on the basis of specific conditions could see their 2020 remuneration being amended even before they take effect. It is clear that the future of the installations is characterised by uncertainty, diametrically opposed to the stability that the renewable sector needs in order for it to become an attractive prospect to investors once again. An uncertainty that the “support measures” announced by Energy fails to remove. If, as the Government maintains, we are well on track as regards compliance with the European Union’s 2020 objectives and that the Spanish electrical system has a capacity surplus, then there would be no reason to act as hastily as the Ministry has, unless politics prevail over economic interests and those of the renewable sector. Of course, we are in favour of new renewables installations but not at any price and not accompanied by conditioning factors that mortgage their future. It does not seem coherent to talk of consensus on energy issues while announcing a renewables auction that fails to listen to the sector.We are not asking for a radical change in the regulation that would generate more chaos, but a dialogue to change key elements in order to minimise the negative effect it is having and could have in future on renewable energies. Renewables have been the most affected by the electricity reform and it is not fair that they continue to bear the brunt of adjustments in the power sector. Last summer we called for a new stable regulatory framework for the sector before initiating further auctions for the installation of new renewable capacity. APPA believes that the sector must recover the lost legal certainty and that as a country, we define an energy strategy able to progress along the path towards the EU’s environmental objectives and the Paris Agreements. The Association has called for widely accepted agreement prior to any sectoral approach, so that a long-term energy strategy can be defined in which the Government is supported by sector agents to design the orderly development of renewable energy in Spain.We continue to believe that the approaches to new renewable developments must bring stability to the sector and not plunge it into more uncertainty.We have to discard short-term strategies as regards energy and abandon erratic regulation that has resulted in renewable energy facing
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